America in Crisis – Deflation
July 24th, 2008<!– @page { size: 8.5in 11in; margin: 0.79in } P { margin-bottom: 0.08in } –>
For the most part, the people that I talk with on a daily basis are worried about inflation. The prices of everything people are buying is going up. Gas , groceries, and entertainment just to name a few. People are starting to have to make tough choices where their money is concerned. But inflation is not always a bad thing, for example inflation can cause wages to to up in the form of cost of living increases.
Starting last year, reports of home foreclosures started to come up all over the country. People were getting loans they could not afford. This led to what is now called the housing bubble collapse. Banks began to foreclose on many, many people. Some of this is to blame on bad banking and lending practices, some is to blame on Congress and the current administration for lifting regulations that kept lenders from doing just this. All of these things have led to a new financial sector collapse.
Our government has responded to these crises by first “bailing out” Bear Stearns. Then the Fed opened what it called the discount window, whereby other lending institutions can borrow money from the Fed, even though they may be at high risk to failure. Now our sympathetic politicians, wanting to help people who are loosing their homes, want to bail out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac – the two biggest backers of first time homeowner loans. The printing press ant the Fed are really humming now.
Where does this money really come from. Well as mentioned before, the Fed prints more money, which is backed by taxpayers. Some money we actually borrow from international banks or foreign countries and give them an I.O.U., still backed by taxpayers. Here is the really crazy part: the politicians, who are wanting to help the people that are forced into the streets, are not helping them at all. Every afore mentioned lender and every other major lender that back home loans are publicly traded companies. The shareholders who, knowing risks are involved, are tho ones who will actually get bailed out. THE CHINESE GOVERNMENT IS THE #1 SHOREHOLDER IN FANNIE MAE AND FREDDIE MAC!!! source here
The real problem facing America is not inflation, but deflation through the devaluation of our currency. The more I.O.U.s American makes (nearly $10 trillion to ourselves and $25trillion to foreign governments) and the more paper money we print, the less faith people have in our currency. It will take more and more dollars to buy the same amount of stuff until no one will accept them at all. A few currencies are already worth more than the dollar. It is getting harder and harder to exchange the dollar for goods in other countries. An economic collapse is eminent if we don’t change the way we do business now. Some are saying it is already too late.
So while our politicians are lining up to see who can give or spend the most money, be sure to keep some matches handy so you can at least keep warm when cooler weather sets in.
July 30th, 2008 at 6:35 am
Predictions made at Blogger Bash:
Ciitbank/Citicorp/Citigroup will fail or receive a government bailout within 4 months (i.e. before November 29)
Washington Mutual will fail or receive a government bailout within 6 weeks (i.e. before September 2)
90 banks will fail in the next 12 months.
July 31st, 2008 at 7:26 pm
Financial Title Co., the largest real-estate title agent in Silicon Valley, has shut its doors…
United Title of Texas has closed all its offices around the state, including six in the Houston area, because of financial troubles…
2 in one day. More to come?
August 5th, 2008 at 9:18 pm
Equipoint Financial Network, Inc.
September 8th, 2008 at 1:58 am
6 weeks have passed and Washington Mutual is still in business without being bailed out by the Feds.
September 8th, 2008 at 8:15 pm
yes I know and I knew you would remind me. Somethings have happened to change the time line. The major thing that happened was that a bill that passed Congress was to go into effect last month. However the bank lobby got the implementation pushed back to the middle of 2009. I don’t remember the precise bill#, but it changes how finical institutions account for their “off book” assets and liabilities. But I’m still on track to reach the 100 banks failing by years end: http://ml-implode.com/ Since our conversation 30 banks have failed according to our prescribed definition.
September 17th, 2008 at 9:15 pm
So I was wrong in my prediction an a couple of counts. CitiCorp has not yet failed, however Lehman Bros. has. WaMu is now up for auction, and therefore can be considered a failed bank. And I was off in the time frame by 3 weeks. CitiCorp will still fail.
November 24th, 2008 at 10:50 pm
[...] Recovery Room, and while there, I made some predictions to other bloggers: idonotknowme Says: July 30th, 2008 at 6:35 am e Predictions made at Blogger Bash: Ciitbank/Citicorp/Citigroup will fail or receive a government [...]
June 17th, 2009 at 5:03 pm
A great post here reveals what you really feel about the current stature of the economy, Every single thing is coming back at the average american and hitting him back at the right chords.
September 10th, 2009 at 12:46 am
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February 25th, 2010 at 9:05 pm
Mr. Paulson, like his predecessor Lawrence Summers (who is now President Obama?s chief economic adviser), is clear in expressing his distaste for the public-private hybrid structure that led the GSEs to take on more risks, leading to big returns for private shareholders but putting taxpayers on the hook once the companies failed. Fannie and Freddie, he writes, ?were at the heart of the U.S. policies that over-stimulated housing in the past.? I want to know if a person who own the share at $60 and how they get protected under this?